Dad's 30-Year Two-Tier Financial Projection

Same model as the conservative 30-yr tool plus a Growth Pool — a 7th bucket earning a higher long-term rate (default 9% APR, S&P-style index returns). Each conservative bucket has a comfort threshold; once the bucket crosses it, new monthly contributions route to Growth Pool while the existing balance stays liquid at 4%. Drawdowns still pull from the conservative side. The idea: keep $140K of House Fund (etc.) liquid for anything that comes up, and put the rest into growth assets where it can compound at index-fund rates over decades. Compare side-by-side with the conservative 30-yr tool. Companion to the 6-year tool and the 2-year decision tool.
Phase 1 · Months 1 to 12 · Now (current high-pace Uber)
Initial pace + vehicle, before scaling back

Phase 1 Uber pace

60 hrs/wk

Phase 1 vehicle

Phase 2 · Months 1324 · Scaled-back working
Lower Uber pace heading into retirement

Phase 2 transition

month 12
30 hrs/wk
Set transition month to 0 to skip Phase 2 (Phase 1 runs all 24 months).

Phase 2 vehicle

Often the same as Phase 1, but pick differently if Dad switches cars when scaling back.
📜 Schedule E tax module · Real monthly federal tax — click to collapse ▴
Mortgage interest amortization, foreign-rental depreciation, federal brackets, SE tax on Uber, IRMAA
What this does: when "Tax mode" below is set to Schedule E, Dad's monthly federal tax bill is computed properly — gross rental minus mortgage interest minus ADS 30-yr foreign-property depreciation minus property tax + insurance + landscaping + maintenance, then 2026 brackets applied (single filer, 65+ standard deduction), plus SE tax on Uber (Phase 1+2) and IRMAA Medicare surcharge (post-Medicare). Passive Activity Loss carryforward tracked. Set mode to "Schedule E" to see the tax-on numbers in the wealth chart and tables.
Pending Dad's actual purchase + improvement records. Defaults below use Josh's working estimate ($2.3M total cost, ~$1.7M structure basis). Real numbers from Dad will change the depreciation deduction. See Intake_list_for_Dad.md §5.
$1,700,000
Structure (building) cost, excluding land. Working estimate: Dad has ~$2.3M total into the house ($1.5M original + ~$500K addition + ~$300K other improvements). Structure portion: $1.5M × 60% + $500K + $300K = $1.7M. Land is non-depreciable (~$600K). Divided by 30-yr ADS (foreign property per IRS Pub 527) = ~$57K/yr depreciation deduction.
$850,000
5.50%
Starting balance × rate amortizes to natural payoff at m297. Interest portion declines monthly per amortization schedule and is the largest Schedule E deduction in early years. Drops to $0 at the mortgage-payoff month.
100%
% of vehicle operating cost deductible as Schedule C business expense. Phase 1+2 heavy Uber → 90-100% realistic. Phase 3 light Uber on a personal Tesla → 20-40% more realistic.
2026 IRMAA starts at $109K single MAGI. With depreciation, Dad's MAGI generally stays below threshold throughout the projection (IRMAA bracket inflation outpaces nominal MAGI growth). Toggle off to ignore the small early-Phase-3 surcharge.

Additional Schedule E deductions (May 16)

Each of these is BOTH a cash outflow from Dad (reduces savings) AND a Schedule E deduction (reduces taxable rental). Default 0 — set to actual values to factor them in.
0.0%
If Dad uses a third-party property manager. Arm's-length range is 8-12% of gross rent. Default 0% (no PM). Set above 0 only if a real third-party PM is engaged.
$0
36 mo
Bermuda real-estate commission paid every time a tenant is replaced. Josh mentioned $11,000 per renewal — set that here. Lease cycle defaults to 36 months (3-year leases standard).
$0
Flights, lodging, rental car, 50% of meals when Dad/Josh travels to Bermuda primarily to inspect or manage the rental. Need to document business purpose.
$0
Catchall: advertising, bank fees, professional fees (CPA, attorney), software subscriptions, supplies, home-office allocation, any other ordinary-and-necessary rental expense not captured above.
📊 Tax bill at a glance
Set tax mode to "Schedule E" above to see Dad's projected federal tax bill at key plan months.
💰 Retirement & advanced tax levers · Solo 401(k), QBI, Form 3115, tier-2 dividends — click to collapse ▴
All live in the model. Defaults preserve audit baseline. Move sliders to see impact in real time.
This is the live calculator, not reference text. Solo 401(k) contributes from Uber SE income (Phase 1+2 — Phase 3 SE is negative, no contribution allowed). Form 3115 catch-up injects unclaimed prior-year depreciation as initial PAL. QBI Schedule E toggle should match what your CPA confirms. Tier-2 dividend split models the qualified dividend portion of S&P return (typically ~2% taxed annually at 15% LTCG).
🎯 Plain English: WHY the defaults below get Dad's tax this low — and what each lever is doing

The defaults below are pre-set to Dad's actual real-world situation — not blank zeros. Each represents an action Dad's CPA will take to legally minimize his federal income tax. Together they bring Year 1 down to ~$1,100/mo (mostly unavoidable Social Security tax) and Phase 3 down to ~$160/mo. Here's exactly what each one is doing:

1. Form 3115 catch-up depreciation (Upstairs 7 yrs / Downstairs 2 yrs / 76% basis allocation)

Dad has been renting the upstairs ~7 years and downstairs ~2 years and never claimed depreciation. The IRS lets him file Form 3115 with his 2026 return and claim ALL of that missed depreciation as one big deduction (~$328K). That deduction becomes a "Passive Activity Loss carryforward" — it sits in a pool and absorbs his rental income every year, tax-free, until exhausted (~7-8 years). This is why "Schedule E rental income tax" shows $0 in the breakdown card — the PAL is eating it. This is restricted to rental income only (IRC §469) — it can't reduce pension or Uber tax.

2. Solo 401(k) — $44,000/yr Traditional (Dad's IRS practical max)

Self-employed people can open a Solo 401(k) and contribute as both "employee" AND "employer." For Dad on ~$70K Uber Sch C net: $23,500 employee deferral + $7,500 age-50 catch-up + ~$13,000 employer profit-sharing (20% of net SE after half SE tax) = $44,000/yr. This is an above-the-line deduction — it shrinks Dad's AGI before any other math. With $44K of Uber Sch C effectively erased from taxable income, federal tax on Uber drops from ~$565/mo to ~$200/mo. This does NOT reduce SE tax (15.3%) — only federal income tax.

3. SE Health Insurance deduction — auto-applied during Uber years

Dad's $600/mo health insurance is fully above-the-line deductible because he has self-employment income (IRC §162(l)). The model applies this automatically whenever Sch C net is positive — no slider needed.

4. QBI (Section 199A) — Schedule C automatic, Schedule E off by default

The Sch C side of QBI is automatic — 20% bonus deduction on Uber net (after the above adjustments). The Sch E side requires "trade or business" status (250-hr safe harbor) which is uncertain for foreign rental — default off, CPA call to flip on. Flipping on saves ~$75K of m360 wealth.

What's LEFT after all of this (the floor you can't go below in Uber years):

  • SE tax (Social Security + Medicare on Uber): ~$834/mo. Unavoidable. This is the "tax" that buys Dad his last 8 Social Security credits (32 → 40) so his Medicare Part A becomes premium-free in 2 years. So while it feels like a tax, it's actually buying ~$285/mo of permanent Part A premium savings for the rest of his life.
  • Federal income tax on pension + tiny tier-1 interest: ~$160-180/mo. Pension is fully taxable (foreign pension, no treaty). Standard deduction + senior add-on eats most of it but not all.
  • Federal income tax on Uber Sch C NET (after Solo 401k absorbs $44K of it): ~$100-150/mo. The remaining ~$26K of Uber Sch C that Solo 401k can't legally shelter still gets bracketed.
  • Total floor in Uber years: ~$1,100/mo. About $670/mo of that is the unavoidable SE-tax / Sch-C-residual combo. Drop SE tax (Phase 3 has no Uber → no SE) and total drops to ~$160/mo.

Why you can't drive Year 1 to the $160/mo level of Year 4: SE tax on Uber is structural. Dad's earning ~$70K of self-employment income → 15.3% × 92.35% = ~$10K/yr of SE tax. The IRS calls this "your contribution to Social Security and Medicare." No legal lever reduces it. The only way to lower SE tax would be to drive less Uber (lower Sch C net) — but he's specifically driving these 2 years to earn the credits.

What changes if you turn things off: drag any slider to 0 to see the impact. Form 3115 sliders → 0 pushes Year 1 tax to ~$2,300/mo (rental tax kicks in). Solo 401k → 0 pushes Year 1 to ~$1,580/mo (federal tax on Uber Sch C now naked). The defaults below represent the realistic-best legal outcome.

Search terms for further research: "Form 3115 §481(a) adjustment", "Solo 401(k) employee employer contribution", "Schedule C QBI §199A", "self-employed health insurance §162(l)", "Passive Activity Loss IRC §469".

📊 Live: how the Phase A levers play out
Set Form 3115 sliders + Solo 401(k) + tax mode = Schedule E to see how many years of zero rental tax Dad gets.
⚠️ Plain English: Self-Employment tax — what it is, what it does, what it can't be reduced by

SE tax IS the Medicare + Social Security tax you'd see on a W-2 paycheck — just both halves.

On a regular paycheck you see 6.2% Social Security + 1.45% Medicare = 7.65% withheld from your side. Your employer matches with another 7.65%. Total contribution to your Social Security + Medicare account: 15.3%.

A self-employed person (you ARE the employer) pays BOTH halves himself = 15.3% total on 92.35% of net Sch C earnings. That's why SE tax feels like a bigger sticker shock — same dollar amount the IRS was always getting, just visible all in one place instead of split between employee and employer line items.

Breakdown of the 15.3%:

  • 12.4% Social Security (OASDI)CAPPED at the SS wage base. 2026 cap ≈ $182,000 (was $176,100 in 2025). Above the cap, the SS portion disappears. Dad at ~$70K Sch C is way below — full 12.4% applies.
  • 2.9% MedicareUNCAPPED, applies to every dollar of SE income forever.
  • Plus 0.9% Additional Medicare Tax on SE earnings above $200K single ($250K married). Dad's not there.

None of the federal-income-tax levers (Solo 401(k), SE health, QBI, depreciation) reduce SE tax. SE tax is computed on Sch C NET (gross - vehicle - other Sch C business expenses), period. The only ways to reduce SE tax: (a) lower Uber gross, or (b) increase deductible Sch C business expenses (mileage / actual vehicle costs / home office / supplies).

Half of SE tax IS deductible against federal income tax (above-the-line, IRC §164(f)). So if Dad pays $7K of SE tax, $3.5K of it indirectly reduces his federal income tax bill. Doesn't make SE tax itself go away.

What SE tax BUYS: it pays into Dad's Social Security account → Social Security credits (see next collapsible). Credits → SS retirement benefit + premium-free Medicare Part A. The tax isn't pure expense — you're literally buying future benefits.

Search terms: "Self-employment tax IRC §1401", "Schedule SE", "Social Security wage base 2026", "Additional Medicare Tax §3101(b)(2)", "half SE tax deduction IRC §164(f)".

🏛️ Plain English: Social Security credits + Medicare Part A — why the 2 more Uber years matter

Two things require 40 lifetime "credits" (a.k.a. "quarters of coverage" / QCs):

  • Full Social Security retirement benefits starting at age 62+
  • Premium-free Medicare Part A (hospital insurance) at age 65+ — otherwise Part A costs $285/mo (with 30-39 credits) or $518/mo (with <30 credits) in 2025 dollars

How credits are earned: 1 credit per ~$1,890 of earnings in 2026 (was $1,810 in 2025). MAX 4 credits per year, regardless of how much you earn. To max out a year you need just $7,560 of W-2 wages or Sch C net SE earnings. Both count the same.

Dad's situation (confirmed): 32 credits today. Needs 8 more = 2 full years of any work where US Social Security tax / SE tax is paid. The current 70 hrs/wk Phase 1 + 50 hrs/wk Phase 2 plan easily maxes out 4 credits/yr × 2 years = 8 credits → 40 total by end of Y2.

Why his Bermuda career didn't count: Dad used Foreign Earned Income Exclusion (FEIE) on his Bermuda salary during his working decades — FEIE excludes income from both US federal income tax AND US Social Security tax. So Bermuda years earned zero US credits. His existing 32 credits came from earlier US work (college-era jobs etc.).

The model already handles the financial impact: Dad's current $600/mo "health insurance" line includes the ~$285/mo Part A premium he pays now (because 32 credits, not 40). At healthStep=31 (default m31, ~7mo after Uber Phase 2 ends — enough time for SSA to process the new credit count), health drops to $300/mo = standard Medicare Part B + Medigap + Part D without the Part A premium. The ~$285/mo savings × 25+ years of remaining life = ~$85K+ of preserved value, just from finishing the 8 credits.

What happens past 40 credits: SE tax keeps applying to all SE income (you don't stop paying). Going to 41, 42, ... 100 credits doesn't give you better Medicare (Part A is binary). It DOES slightly bump your eventual SS retirement check — the SS benefit formula uses your highest 35 years of indexed earnings, so additional earning years can replace lower-earning years and raise the payout a bit.

Practical action: verify Dad's current credit count by signing in at ssa.gov/myaccount — the statement shows total credits earned to date. The model assumes 32 → 40 over the Uber years; if SSA shows fewer than 32, healthStep needs to push later. If SSA shows more, healthStep can come earlier.

Search terms: "Social Security credits 2026 amount per credit", "quarters of coverage QC", "premium-free Medicare Part A 40 credits", "Social Security wage base FEIE foreign earned income exclusion", "ssa.gov/myaccount earnings statement", "Part A Premium 30-39 credits", "windfall elimination provision WEP" (relevant for those with both US + foreign pensions).

Solo 401(k) — self-employed retirement account
📖 Plain English — what this is and why it matters

Solo 401(k) is a retirement account specifically for people who are self-employed with no employees (just themselves and optionally a spouse). Dad's Uber driving counts as self-employment income for IRS purposes, so he qualifies. The IRS calls Dad both the "employee" and the "employer" of his one-person business, so he gets to make TWO contributions per year:

(1) Employee deferral — up to $23,500 (2026 limit) + $7,500 age-50+ catch-up = $31,000 max for Dad.
(2) Employer profit-sharing — up to 25% of his net self-employment earnings (after the deductible half of SE tax). For Dad's ~$70K Sch C net, that's ~$14K.

Traditional vs Roth: Traditional = deduct the contribution now (lowers federal tax this year), pay tax later when withdrawn. Roth = no deduction now, but withdrawals are 100% tax-free forever. Traditional is usually better for high-bracket years like Dad's Uber years; Roth is better for low-bracket years or if you expect to be in a higher bracket in retirement.

RMD ("Required Minimum Distribution"): the IRS forces Traditional 401(k) holders to start withdrawing a minimum amount each year starting at age 73 (m76 for Dad). The annual minimum = balance ÷ Uniform Lifetime divisor (age 73 = 26.5, declining each year). Roth Solo 401(k) is exempt from RMDs (SECURE Act 2.0, 2024+).

How the model handles it: contributions are gated by positive Sch C net (Phase 3 with SE-negative auto-throttles to $0). Balance compounds at its own rate (slider, default 9%). RMDs auto-fire from m76 if Traditional. Withdrawals add to Dad's taxable income; contributions reduce it.

Search terms for research: "Solo 401(k) 2026 limits", "IRC §401(k)", "SECURE Act 2.0 RMD age 73", "Solo 401(k) Roth option", "self-employed retirement plan comparison".

$44,000
Default $44,000 = Dad's IRS practical max for ~$70K Sch C net: Employee deferral $23,500 + age-50 catch-up $7,500 = $31,000, plus employer profit-sharing 20% × (Sch C net − half SE tax) ≈ $13,000. Total $44K. Theoretical $77K limit only applies to much higher SE income. Capped monthly at Sch C net — Phase 3 (SE-negative) auto-throttles to $0.
9.0%
Separate from the bucket growthRate slider — let user model a different mix inside the 401(k).
$0
Starts at m76 (age 73). For Traditional, RMD floor automatically applies — IRS Uniform Lifetime Table — even if you set $0 here.
m76
QBI Section 199A — Schedule E qualification
📖 Plain English — what QBI is and the Schedule E twist

QBI = "Qualified Business Income." Section 199A of the tax code lets self-employed people (including Sch C and certain Sch E filers) deduct an EXTRA 20% of their qualified business income from federal taxable income. Pure bonus deduction — no money out, just paperwork.

Schedule C (Dad's Uber): AUTOMATICALLY qualifies. The model applies this without any toggle — Phase 1+2 Uber income gets 20% off after the deductible items (half SE tax, SE health insurance, retirement contributions) are subtracted from the QBI base, per IRS Pub 535.

Schedule E (Dad's rental): qualification is UNCERTAIN for foreign rental property. To qualify, the rental must rise to the level of a "trade or business" — IRS gave a 250-hour-per-year safe harbor (Rev. Proc. 2019-38) for landlords who actively manage. Dad's rental has a corporate tenant (Arch Re) and an active landlord — probably qualifies, but foreign rental adds complications. Default toggle = OFF (conservative). When CPA confirms qualification, flip to ON — adds ~$54-87K of m360 wealth via lower lifetime tax.

Search terms: "Section 199A QBI deduction", "Rev. Proc. 2019-38 safe harbor rental real estate", "QBI deduction foreign rental property", "trade or business rental for §199A".

Sch C (Uber) QBI always applied — automatic. Sch E QBI requires that rental rises to trade-or-business level. Foreign rental qualification is uncertain — needs CPA. If "yes," 20% of net Sch E income deducted from taxable income.
Form 3115 catch-up depreciation · split by unit
📖 Plain English — what Form 3115 catch-up does (and why it's huge for Dad)

Depreciation is the IRS's way of letting a landlord write off the building part (not the land) of a rental property over time. For foreign residential rental (Bermuda), the IRS uses 30-year ADS (Alternative Depreciation System) straight-line — you deduct 1/30 of the structure basis each year against rental income. On Dad's $1.7M structure basis that's ~$56K/yr of automatic deductions.

The trap: the IRS treats your basis as if you HAD claimed depreciation, whether you actually did or not ("depreciation allowed or allowable" — IRC §1016(a)(2)). When you sell, they recapture all that hypothetical depreciation at 25% tax. So if you skip claiming for years, you still owe tax on it later — pure loss.

The fix: Form 3115 ("Application for Change in Accounting Method") + a §481(a) adjustment. Your CPA files this once and you get to CLAIM all the missed years of depreciation as a single huge deduction in the current tax year. For Dad: upstairs ~7 yrs missed × $43K/yr + downstairs ~2 yrs × $13.6K/yr = ~$328K of one-time deduction in 2026.

What happens to that giant deduction: it becomes a Passive Activity Loss (PAL) carryforward because Dad's MAGI is well above $150K (passes the $25K rental loss allowance phaseout). The PAL gets used up gradually, sheltering ~$38K/yr of positive rental income tax-free for ~7-8 years. After that, Sch E tax resumes at the normal level.

Basis allocation by unit: upstairs and downstairs have different rental start dates (~7yr upstairs, ~2yr downstairs per Dad), so the catchup must be split by unit. The basis allocation defaults to 76% upstairs / 24% downstairs based on rent ratio ($11K / $14.4K). CPA may refine based on ARV split or a cost-segregation study.

Search terms: "Form 3115 §481(a) adjustment", "ADS 30-year foreign residential rental depreciation", "IRS Pub 527 foreign rental", "passive activity loss carryforward MAGI $150K phaseout", "depreciation allowed or allowable IRC 1016".

Per Dad (Tax Levers Analysis): upstairs has been rented ~6-7 years, downstairs ~2 years. Basis splits by rent ratio (~76% up / 24% down at default $11K/$3.4K). Set both unit fields below to compute the catchup correctly. Filing Form 3115 with the 2026 return loads this as initial PAL — shelters future rental income for ~7-8 years before exhausting.
7 yrs
Default 7 (per Dad: upstairs rented ~6-7 yrs). Annual upstairs depreciation = propertyBasis × allocation% / 30 yrs. Set 0 to model the "didn't file Form 3115" scenario.
2 yrs
Default 2 (per Dad: rented since FL move ~2 yrs). Set 0 to model the "didn't file" scenario.
76%
Default 76% = rent ratio $11K / ($11K + $3.4K). CPA may use ARV (assessed rental value) split or proper cost-segregation study — adjust here once known.
Legacy single-basis slider (keep at 0 if using the split fields above — fallback for backward-compat with old audit scenarios):
0 yrs
House episodic drawdowns — % deductible as repairs
📖 Plain English — repairs vs capital improvements

When Dad spends $40K on the Bermuda house, the IRS classifies that spending two ways:

(1) Repairs / maintenance — restore the property to its previous condition. Painting, fixing a broken pipe, replacing a worn carpet with a similar one, patching the roof. These are immediately deductible against rental income in the year spent. Full write-off.

(2) Capital improvements — add value, prolong useful life, or adapt to new use. New roof (vs. patching), addition, structural reinforcement, full kitchen remodel. These must be capitalized — added to the property's depreciable basis and written off over 30 yrs ADS. So a $40K improvement gives Dad ~$1,333/yr of extra depreciation for 30 years, instead of one $40K deduction.

Reality: most house spending is a MIX. A roof job is part repair (tearing off the old) + part improvement (new architectural shingles vs. plain shingles = improvement). Painting is 100% repair. A new HVAC system is mostly capital. The 50% default assumes a typical mix.

Model handling: the $40K-every-5-years drawdown × deductiblePct gets smoothed across the cycle ($40K × 50% / 60mo = $333/mo smoothed deduction) and flows through Sch E. The full $40K cash hit still comes out of House Fund when it fires.

Search terms: "IRS Pub 527 repairs vs improvements", "tangible property regulations Reg 1.263(a)-3", "BAR test betterment adaptation restoration", "Schedule E repair expense vs capitalized improvement".

Big-ticket house spending (the $40K-every-5-years drawdown) is partly deductible repairs (painting, kind-for-kind replacement) and partly capital improvements (new roof, addition, structural — must be capitalized and depreciated over 30 yrs ADS). Default 50% is a mixed-real-world assumption — your CPA dials this based on what's actually spent. Set 0% to treat all big-ticket as capitalized (no immediate deduction); 100% to treat all as immediately deductible repairs.
50%
Smoothed monthly: $333/mo (= houseDrawAmount × deductiblePct / houseDrawInterval), starts m73.
SBLOC — borrow against tier-2 stocks instead of selling
📖 Plain English — what SBLOC is and when it makes sense

SBLOC = Securities-Based Line of Credit. A line of credit from your brokerage (Fidelity, Schwab, etc.) collateralized by your tier-2 stock portfolio. You don't sell the stocks — they stay invested and keep compounding at the growthRate. The brokerage lets you borrow up to a percentage of the portfolio's value (the LTV cap, typically 50% for diversified stocks).

Why this is strategically interesting:

  • The cash you draw is NOT taxable income — loans aren't income. So Dad can get $1-2K/mo of spending money without triggering any tax event.
  • Your stocks keep compounding. If tier-2 is earning 9%/yr and your SBLOC interest is 7%/yr, you're net ahead by 2%/yr on the borrowed amount (assuming stocks behave). The capital gains you would have triggered by SELLING (15-20% LTCG) are avoided entirely.
  • No required principal payments. Just interest, and even that can be capitalized into the balance (you don't have to pay it from cash). The loan just grows.

The risks:

  • Margin call risk. If stocks crash and the loan balance crosses ~70% of portfolio value, the brokerage can FORCE you to sell stocks to pay down the loan — at the worst possible time. Keep LTV well below the max (default 50%) to provide a buffer.
  • Variable interest rate. SBLOC rates float (typically SOFR + 2-3% spread). If rates spike, your cost goes up. Currently ~7% in 2026 environment.
  • Loan balance can outrun stock growth. If you draw aggressively and stocks underperform, you can dig a hole.

When SBLOC makes sense for Dad: late-life (m240+ = age 86+) when he wants extra discretionary spending money or needs cash for a big purchase, and doesn't want to liquidate tier-2 stocks (which would trigger capital gains tax AND stop the compounding). The model defaults SBLOC to OFF — turn on only if you want to model that strategy.

Tax-deductibility of interest: SBLOC interest is generally NOT tax-deductible (since it's a personal-use loan, not investment-interest under §163(d)). The model does not deduct it.

Search terms: "Securities Based Line of Credit", "SBLOC vs margin loan", "asset-backed line of credit brokerage", "tax treatment of SBLOC interest", "SBLOC margin call risk", "buy-borrow-die strategy basis step-up".

m240
Default m240 = ~age 86. Earlier starts let the strategy compound longer (more interest accrual). Pick the month where you'd realistically want to start drawing.
$0
Cash drawn from the line each month (tax-free). Cap at the LTV limit vs tier-2 balance.
7.0%
SBLOC rates are typically variable (SOFR + spread). Conservative planning assumption 7%; stress test with 9-10% if rates spike.
50%
Hard cap on outstanding balance vs tier-2 stock balance. Brokers allow up to ~70% but margin-call risk rises sharply above ~50%. Keep buffer.
Tier-2 dividend split (qualified dividends taxed annually)
📖 Plain English — why S&P returns aren't ALL tax-deferred

The "tier-2" growth pool in Dad's model represents money invested in stock index funds (S&P 500 / VTI / VOO). The model's growthRate slider sets total return (e.g., 9%/yr).

That total return is actually two things:

(1) Qualified dividends — roughly 2%/yr for the S&P 500. These are CASH payouts from the companies you own (Apple, Microsoft, etc.). The IRS taxes these annually as "qualified dividends" at the preferential long-term capital gains rate: 0% (taxable income below ~$47K single), 15% (most middle-bracket), or 20% (taxable income above ~$520K). Even though index funds AUTOMATICALLY reinvest dividends, you still owe tax on them every year — the IRS gets paid from somewhere else (your other cash).

(2) Price appreciation — roughly 7%/yr for the S&P 500. This is the value of your shares going UP. The IRS does NOT tax this until you SELL the shares (then it's capital gains, again at preferential rates: 0%/15%/20%). If you never sell, you never owe tax on appreciation (and if your heirs inherit, they get a basis step-up — they only owe tax on growth AFTER they inherit).

Why this matters for the model: the model previously treated tier-2 as 100% tax-deferred (just appreciation). That's optimistic — qualified dividends DO leak ~2%/yr × 15% = 0.3%/yr of drag every year. The slider lets you model it realistically.

"Buy-borrow-die" strategy: some wealth-management circles advocate NEVER selling tier-2 stocks. Instead, take loans against them (Securities-Based Line of Credit / SBLOC) when you need cash in retirement. You pay interest (~7%/yr) but no capital gains tax. At your eventual estate, heirs get basis step-up and the unrealized gains escape tax entirely. Not currently modeled — flagged as future enhancement.

Search terms: "qualified dividend tax rate 2026", "long-term capital gains brackets 2026", "S&P 500 dividend yield historical", "Net Investment Income Tax NIIT 3.8%", "step-up in basis IRC §1014", "securities-based line of credit SBLOC".

0.0%
S&P 500 throws ~2%/yr qualified dividends (taxed annually) on top of ~7%/yr appreciation (tax-deferred). Default 0 = audit baseline. Set to 2.0 for realistic modeling.
15.0%
Default 15% — standard LTCG/qualified dividend rate for Dad's bracket. Use 0% if below ~$47K taxable, 20% if above ~$520K, 23.8% to include NIIT.
⚙️ Adjustable defaults · Fixed savings + Florida living costs — click to expand ▾
Personal LT, Trip Fund, M&I reserve, FL rent, groceries — defaults match the original locked numbers
These were originally locked constants in the model. They're now state-driven sliders so Dad can dial them to actual numbers if his real spending differs. Defaults match the original locked values exactly — leave them alone for the baseline scenario, adjust only if showing alternative cases.
$1,500
Locked / protected monthly savings into Dad's personal long-term bucket. Default $1,500/mo.
$750
Monthly savings into Trip/Travel Fund. Default $750/mo. Funds the Australia lump + ongoing trips.
$809
Maintenance & Improvements reserve base rate (grows with houseGrowth %). Default $809/mo.
$2,600
Dad's Florida rent (Tampa/St. Pete). Grows with personal-inflation slider. Default $2,600/mo.
$1,250
Catchall for Florida daily living: food, utilities, gas (personal), phone, subscriptions, etc. Default $1,250/mo.
💡 Tax-saving levers (reference card · not in model) — click to expand ▾
Solo 401(k), QBI, SE health, Form 3115, Roth — what applies, who's eligible, dollar impact
This is reference content, not a calculator. Levers below are real US tax strategies that apply (or don't) to Dad's situation. Numbers shown are rough estimates over the plan horizon — your CPA will produce exact figures. Open this section when walking Dad through the tax picture.
1. Solo 401(k) — biggest lever, do this first [NOW LIVE — see red section above]
What: retirement account for self-employed people. Dad's Uber income makes him eligible.
How much: up to ~$45K/yr of Uber net income goes in pre-tax (employee deferral $23.5K + age-50+ catch-up $7.5K + employer side ~$14K).
Tax saved: ~$10K/yr of federal income tax × 2 Uber years = ~$20K real money saved. Plus the $90K of contributions compounds for 30 years to ~$340K.
Note: Does NOT reduce SE tax (15.3%) — only reduces federal income tax. Doesn't matter, still worth it.
How to set up: open at Fidelity or Schwab before Dec 31, 2026. CPA helps with paperwork.
Pay tax later: withdrawals in retirement are taxed as ordinary income. Plan: convert to Roth gradually in low-bracket years (Phase 3+). 2026-05-17 update: live model now includes Solo 401(k) with Traditional/Roth toggle, contribution gating by SE net income, RMD floor at age 73, taxable-withdrawal flow.
2. Schedule E depreciation + Form 3115 catch-up — both live [NOW LIVE — see red section above]
What: the model already gives Dad ~$57K/yr of depreciation deduction on the $1.7M building basis. Form 3115 is a one-time filing that catches up the ~2 years of depreciation Dad didn't claim before. Worth ~$15-25K extra savings.
Status: depreciation IS in the live model (built into the green Schedule E tax module above). 2026-05-17 update: Form 3115 catch-up is ALSO in the live model now — slider in red section. Set "prior years missed" to 2 to model Dad's situation; the catch-up loads as initial PAL and shelters future rental income.
Big risk if NOT done: "depreciation allowed or allowable" trap — when Dad sells, IRS treats his basis as reduced by all depreciation he could have taken, whether he claimed it or not. File Form 3115 to make sure he actually GETS the benefit instead of just the eventual penalty.
3. QBI 20% deduction (Section 199A) [NOW LIVE — see red section above]
What: 20% bonus deduction on small-business income.
Schedule C (Uber): Phase 1+2 only, ~$3K/yr × 2 yrs = ~$6K saved. Automatic.
Schedule E (Rental): applies IF rental qualifies as a "trade or business" (250+ hours/yr of active management — Dad probably qualifies given the corporate tenant + maintenance coordination). If foreign rental qualifies (uncertain — CPA call), potential $200K+ saved over 30 years.
2026-05-17 update: live model now applies QBI Sch C automatically; Sch E QBI is a toggle (default off — flip on if CPA confirms qualification).
4. Self-employed health insurance deduction
What: if you have self-employment income, your health insurance premiums (including Medicare) are 100% deductible above-the-line.
For Dad: during Uber years, his ~$400-550/mo of Medicare Part B + Part D + Medigap becomes deductible. ~$1-2K/yr saved × 2 yrs = ~$3K real money.
Status: NOT in the live model. Easy CPA-level capture.
5. Roth IRA — small but useful
What: $8K/yr ($7K + $1K age-50+ catch-up). Money goes in after-tax; growth and withdrawals are tax-free forever.
For Dad: in retirement his MAGI drops below the $155K Roth phaseout — he can contribute directly. During Uber years he might exceed it; the "backdoor Roth" workaround handles that.
Impact: modest in dollars but compounds to ~$40-60K of tax-free wealth over 30 years.
6. Bermuda Primary Family Homestead Certificate — ✅ DONE
Status: Filed (confirmed May 16). Confirm certificate is current at Dad's next Bermuda lawyer visit. Nothing further needed for the 30-year plan.
7. Things that DON'T help (so we can stop circling back)
Bermuda trust: US tax compliance burden too high for a US person. Homestead exemption is the simpler win.
US LLC owning the house: would convert property to "foreign-owned" by Bermuda, lose homestead. Net negative.
C-corp election: double taxation worse than personal Schedule E.
Puerto Rico Act 60: only helps US-source or PR-source income; Bermuda rental is foreign-source.
HSA: Dad already on Medicare → can't contribute (can spend existing HSA balances tax-free on medical though).
1031 exchange: post-TCJA, US-to-US only. Selling Bermuda → buying US property doesn't qualify.
S-corp on Uber: single-employee scrutiny + accountant fees > savings for 2-year Uber stint.
Phase 3 · Months 25–72 · Years 3–6 · Post-Uber, optional light work — click to expand ▾
Light Uber, optional car business, lifestyle bumps, health step-down

Phase 3 income sources

30 hrs/mo
Per month, not week. At 30 hrs/mo × $25/hr = $750. Set to 0 for full retirement.
$0/mo
Phase 3 only. Dad rents his car to another driver, takes a cut. Modest setup: $500–$1,200/mo net.

Phase 3 lifestyle

$500/mo
$400/mo
$300/mo
Phase 1 + 2 hold these at $250 / $200 / $150. Phase 3 = the values above.

Phase 3 vehicle

Tesla NEW (0% APR / 72 mo) is the cheapest owned option once Grandma's car is gone. Avis ($1,525 fixed) makes no sense at retirement mileage.

Auto vehicle replacement cycle

84 mo
Every N months, the active Tesla's loan resets (Dad trades up to a new Tesla of the same type). Default 84 mo = 7 years. Slider runs 0–180 (15 yrs); 0 disables auto-replacement (one Tesla for the whole window, post-loan fixed cost stays $375/mo). Only matters when a Tesla is the active vehicle — ignored for Grandma's car or Avis.
Phase 4 · Months 73–360 · Years 7–30 · True retirement — click to expand ▾
Mortgage payoff, health step, lease growth, Opportunity Fund — long-term levers
Phase 4 has no dedicated controls. By definition, this is the band where Dad has fully exited Uber and isn't actively running a car business. He's living on rent + pension + drawdowns + interest on accumulated balances. Everything that varies (vehicle pick, golf/eat/disc, lifestyle, lease renewal growth, auto vehicle replacement, drawdowns) is set in the Phase 3 and Long-Term Levers controls below — Phase 4 inherits all of it. The only thing that changes at m73 is Uber income drops to $0 and the Direct Car Business income (if any) ends.
Want different settings for years 7–30 specifically? Tell me and I'll add Phase 4 sliders. For now this keeps the control panel from getting buried.
Long-term levers · Rare events that move the model
Mortgage payoff, health step, lease growth, Opportunity Fund

Mortgage payoff

month 297
$850K @ 5.5% APR with the current $5,250/mo payment amortizes naturally at m297 (~24.75 years). It's a 5-yr balloon that gets renewed; if the rate changes or Dad pays it down faster, drag this slider. After the payoff month, the $5,250 line disappears from expenses entirely.

Health insurance step

month 31
Default month 31: ~6-month bridge insurance after Uber phase, then ACA/Medicare-style step. Drag to retest.

Upstairs lease renewal + long-term growth

$11,500/mo
1.5%/yr
Lease structure: m1–36 at $11,000 (current 3-yr term), m37–72 flat at the renewal value above (years 4–6), then grows annually starting m73 at the rate above. In real life the lease renews every 3 years — this smooths those step-ups into annual growth. Default 1.5%/yr is conservative.

Opportunity Fund (for IPO / bank flips / side plays)

$100,000
$20,000
30% to Opp
When House crosses the threshold: seed transfers House → Opp once, then residual splits per the % above for the rest of the projection.

📊 Economic assumptions (added Phase 2 audit)

Why these matter: the model previously hardcoded these as 4% / 2.5% / 2.5% / 0%. Phase 2 stress-test found that real-world data suggests more conservative defaults. Drag each slider to see the impact. See Phase2_Stress_Test_Findings_2026-05-15.md for full analysis.
4.00%/yr
Current FDLXX yield is ~3.3% and falling as Fed cuts. Long-run T-bill avg (1928-2024) is 3.3%. The 4% default is optimistic — try 3.0% for realistic, 2.5% for conservative.
2.50%/yr
Applies to FL rent + health + groceries + golf + eating out + discretionary. Recent US CPI (2020-2025) averaged 3.89%; long-run (1928-2024) ~3.0%. Default 2.5% is below both.
2.50%/yr
Applies to land tax + insurance + landscaping + M&I reserve. Bermuda reinsurance market saw +10% in 2024; primary residential insurance tracks similarly. 3.5%+ is realistic post-hurricane-cycle.
0%
Phase 2 flat-rate proxy. The new Schedule E tax module has its own dedicated section above the Phase controls — that's the proper monthly tax calculation. This slider is preserved for backward-comparison only. When tax mode = "Schedule E" the flat drag is ignored.
🚀 Growth Pool · Tier-2 long-horizon allocation — click to expand ▾
Once a bucket crosses its comfort threshold, new contributions route here instead
The big idea, in one sentence: keep a comfort buffer in each bucket at 4% (safe and liquid), and put new contributions above that buffer into S&P-style index funds where they earn ~9% over decades. Each bucket has its own growth sub-pool — same funds, separate accounting.
How the math works (click to expand) ▾

Each month, for each "fundable" bucket (House, Personal, M&I, Trip):

  1. The would-be deposit is calculated normally (House gets the residual; Personal gets $1,500; M&I gets $809+inflation; Trip gets $750).
  2. If the bucket's current balance is below its comfort threshold → deposit goes into the bucket at 4% (conservative tier).
  3. If the bucket is already at or above the threshold → that deposit routes to the bucket's own growth sub-pool at the growth-rate APR (default 9%) instead.

The bucket's existing balance always compounds at 4% regardless, so it slowly creeps above the threshold via interest. That's fine and realistic — it just means a little extra liquidity above the floor.

Drawdowns only pull from the conservative tier. If Dad takes $500/mo of House drawdown, that comes out of the conservative House balance — the growth pool stays untouched. This mirrors how you'd actually manage it: spend from the liquid pile, leave the long-horizon stuff invested.

VRF and Opp Fund are exempt from two-tier routing. VRF must stay liquid (cars get bought outright). Opp Fund is already the speculative bucket — it doesn't need a second speculative layer.

Long-term growth rate

9.0%/yr
Long-term S&P 500 nominal average is ~10%/yr; over any specific 30-yr window it ranges 6–11%. Default 9% is a defensible mid-range. Slider 4% (matches conservative tier — Growth = no benefit) through 12% (aggressive).

Day-one growth allocation

15%
Instead of waiting until the bucket hits its threshold, route this % of every deposit directly to the growth pool starting at month 1. The remaining percentage still builds up the conservative buffer. Once a bucket crosses its threshold, that bucket's deposits go 100% to growth (same as before). Set to 0% to keep the old "fill conservative first, then switch" behavior.

🏠 House Fund — comfort threshold

$140,000
First $140K of House Fund stays at 4% (liquid). After that, monthly residuals route to Growth Pool. 0 = no threshold (always conservative).

💵 Personal Long-term — comfort threshold

$40,000
Keep $40K as a Personal liquid buffer; the rest of the $1,500/mo deposit goes to Growth from then on.

🔧 Maintenance & Improvements — comfort threshold

$50,000
$50K of M&I stays liquid for any maintenance event. Beyond that, the bucket has more than it needs short-term — overflow goes to Growth.

✈️ Trip / Travel — comfort threshold

$25,000
Big travel reserve covers any single major trip. The rest of the $750/mo goes to Growth.
Bucket drawdowns · What if Dad spends some of it — click to expand ▾
Stress-test: subtract spending from each bucket (default collapsed)
All drawdowns default to $0 — turn them on individually to see what happens if Dad actually spends from each bucket. The buckets accumulate via deposits and 4% interest; these sliders subtract spending each month. Opportunity Fund has no drawdown slider since it's meant to keep growing.

🔧 M&I drawdown — episodic maintenance (painting, repairs, etc.)

every 18 mo
$3,000
M&I spending is rarely monthly — it's a paint job one year, a roof patch the next, etc. Default: $3,000 every 10 months (~$300/mo equivalent). Set amount to $0 to disable. Implied monthly avg: $300/mo.

✈️ Trip / Travel drawdown — one-time trip + ongoing travel

Two parts: a one-time lump sum (e.g. the Australia trip) and an ongoing monthly drawdown for regular travel. Both default $0 so the baseline doesn't shift.
One-time lump sum (Australia trip)
month 18
$8,000
Default trip month = m18 (1.5 years from now). Bump amount up to $8K–$15K to model the Australia trip.

Recurring trips (every few months, not monthly)
month 24
every 3 mo
$2,000
Real travel isn't monthly — it's a few times a year. Default: $2,000 every 3 months starting m24 (~$667/mo equivalent, ~$8K/yr). Set amount to $0 to disable. Implied monthly average: $667/mo.

🏠 House Fund drawdown — episodic big-ticket repairs, year 6+ only

Real-world house spending is episodic — a roof replacement every ~10 yrs, an HVAC swap every ~7 yrs, big repaint every ~5 yrs. Default: $40,000 every 60 months (~5-yr cycle, ~$667/mo average). The House Fund stays untouched before m73 because rental income carries the load.
every 60 mo
$40,000
First event fires at m73 + interval (so m133 by default). Implied monthly avg: $667/mo. Set amount to $0 to disable. Interval 0 also disables.
🛡 Emergency floor (tier-2 backstop) — if a House drawdown drops tier-1 below this floor, the gap gets transferred from the tier-2 House growth pool back into tier-1 to keep liquidity. Lets you avoid being cash-poor after a big repair without manually rebalancing.
$25,000
Default $25K reflects "always keep at least $25K liquid for emergencies." Set to $0 to disable — tier-2 pool will never be touched and tier-1 can run to $0 if drawdowns outpace deposits. The primary refill mechanism is still the threshold-redirect (deposits route 100% to tier-1 below threshold), which doesn't sell tier-2 growth assets — this slider is just the backstop for when tier-1 is genuinely depleted.

💵 Personal Long-term drawdown — episodic big-ticket personal spending, retirement only

Same shape as House — episodic, not monthly. Default: $20,000 every 48 months (4-yr cycle, ~$417/mo average). Use cases: a new car (if outside VRF), a big hobby splurge, a once-every-4-years splurge. Starts at m25 (Phase 3).
every 48 mo
$20,000
First event fires at m25 + interval (so m73 by default). Implied monthly avg: $417/mo. Personal LT bucket naturally refills at the $1,500/mo deposit rate (no refill mechanism needed).

🚗 VRF per vehicle event — depreciation gap at each new car

$8,000
Drawn from VRF whenever the active vehicle changes (P1→P2 swap, P2→P3 swap, or each auto-replacement cycle hit). Original VRF design: cover the gap between what an Uber-driven Tesla is worth at sale vs. what's still owed. If VRF can't cover it, the remainder comes from House Fund. Set to ~$15,000 to model significant Uber-era depreciation at the first event.
Combined wealth @ m24
End of working years
Combined wealth @ m360
End of 30-year projection
Opportunity Fund @ m360
triggered at month —
Interest income @ m360
"passive" — what balances earn

What this scenario actually looks like — in plain English

Auto-updates as you drag any slider above.
Two years from now (Month 24)
Thirty years from now (Month 360)

What life actually looks like — by phase

Each phase is a different chapter of Dad's life. Same sliders as above drive these descriptions — drag golf, eating-out, trip, or drawdown values and watch the picture change.
Phase 1 · m1–3 · Hard-working months
Phase 2 · m4–24 · Scaled-back working
Phase 3 · m25–72 · Post-Uber, lifestyle bumps
Phase 4 · m73–360 · True retirement

Money in / money out — pick any month from m1 to m360

Drag the slider to scrub to any month, or click a phase button to jump to that phase's midpoint. The income, expenses, and savings allocations all reflect that exact month.
m180 · Year 15

↓ Money in

↑ Money out (living expenses)

Phase 3 typical month (sampled at m48):
Cash income $0 − Cash expenses $0 = $0 cash residual flows into the savings buckets below.
🚀 Plus interest reinvested at m48 (not in the cash flow above — these compound inside the buckets):
Tier-1 conservative interest (4% APR): $0/mo · Tier-2 growth pool interest (9%): $0/mo · Total interest: $0/mo
Total wealth growth this month: $0 = $0 cash residual + $0 reinvested interest − drawdowns this month

The 6 savings buckets — monthly deposits by phase + balance at chosen month

The three dynamic buckets (House, Vehicle Replacement, Opportunity) show contributions for each phase side-by-side, so you can see how they shift as Dad scales back and retires. The three fixed buckets (Personal LT, Trip, M&I) take the same dollar amount every month (M&I grows ~2.5%/yr with house bills) — they're shown as a single value.
m360 · Year 30
Drag to scrub through the 30-year timeline. The phase-deposit columns (P1/P2/P3/P4) stay fixed — they show contributions at the midpoint of each phase. The balance numbers at the bottom of each card (tier-1, tier-2, combined) reflect this picked month.
🏠 House Fund dynamic
P1$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P2$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P3$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P4$0/mo dep+ $0 int
Tier-1 conservative @ m360: $0
🚀 Tier-2 growth pool @ m360: $0 ($0/mo yield)
Combined: $0
💵 Personal Long-term fixed deposit
$1,500/mo deposit
+ interest $0$0/mo over 30 yrs
Tier-1 conservative @ m360: $0
🚀 Tier-2 growth pool @ m360: $0 ($0/mo yield)
Combined: $0
🔧 Maintenance & Improvements fixed deposit (+2.5%/yr)
$809$0/mo deposit
+ interest $0$0/mo over 30 yrs
Tier-1 conservative @ m360: $0
🚀 Tier-2 growth pool @ m360: $0 ($0/mo yield)
Combined: $0
✈️ Trip / Travel Fund fixed deposit
$750/mo deposit
+ interest $0$0/mo over 30 yrs
Tier-1 conservative @ m360: $0
🚀 Tier-2 growth pool @ m360: $0 ($0/mo yield)
Combined: $0
🚗 Vehicle Replacement Fund dynamic
P1$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P2$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P3$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P4$0/mo dep+ $0 int
~$0
at month 360
💼 Opportunity Fund dynamic · IPO / side plays
P1$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P2$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P3$0/mo dep+ $0 int
P4$0/mo dep+ $0 int
~$0
at month 360
Each phase value is the contribution at a representative month inside that phase (P1 mid, P2 mid, P3 m48 = 2 yrs into retirement, P4 m180 = 15 yrs into Phase 4 where compounding dominates). If Phase 2 is skipped (transition month = 0 or 24), P2 reads "—". For the Opportunity Fund, any phase that's before the trigger reads "$0"; once the trigger fires inside a phase, that phase reads the post-trigger split contribution. The seed transfer at trigger isn't a monthly contribution — it's reflected in the m360 balance.

Total wealth trajectory (all 6 buckets summed, 360 months / 30 years)

Vertical markers: Phase 2 boundary (if scale-back active), m24 (Phase 3 begins), health step (current slider), m37 (first lease renewal), m72 (Phase 4 begins — no more Uber), mortgage payoff (current slider), m360 (Year 30), plus Opp trigger and vehicle replacements as they happen.

All buckets, month-by-month — combined tier-1 + tier-2 (matches milestone table)

Each line is the total balance of that bucket (conservative tier-1 + growth-pool tier-2 if the bucket has one). The four fundable buckets (House, Personal, M&I, Trip) include their growth pools because that's where most of the long-run wealth lives. VRF and Opp Fund have no tier-2 routing — they show tier-1 only.
House Fund (combined) Personal Long-term (combined) M&I (combined) Trip / Travel (combined) Vehicle Replacement (tier-1 only) Opportunity Fund (tier-1 only)
Why does the House Fund line look like it's bouncing around $150-200K then suddenly climbing? Tier-1 caps near the comfort threshold ($140K default) — once it crosses, new deposits route to the tier-2 growth pool instead. So tier-1 stays flat-ish and the visible growth in the line is mostly the tier-2 pool compounding at the growth rate (9% default). The bigger the gap above $140K, the more the tier-2 pool dominates the total. Drawdowns at m132, m192, m252, m312 cause the dips. Personal Long-term shows the biggest absolute growth because its $1,500/mo deposit funnels heavily into tier-2 once the $40K threshold is crossed early.

Milestone snapshots

Month House Personal M&I Trip VRF Opportunity Solo 401(k) Total + 401k

Monthly income picture — including interest from accumulated balances

Real income = rent + pension + Uber + car biz + interest on accumulated savings, where interest comes from both tiers: every $100K of tier-1 (conservative) balance throws off ~$333/mo at 4%, and every $100K of tier-2 (growth pool) balance throws off ~$750/mo at 9%. As balances grow and tier-2 pools fill, interest grows with them. The table below splits the two tiers so you can see exactly where each dollar of "passive income" comes from.
Rent (down + up) Pension Uber Car business (P3) Tier-1 interest (4% on conservative buckets) Tier-2 interest (growth-rate on growth pools)
Month Rent Pension Uber Car biz Tier-1 int
(4%)
Tier-2 int
(growth)
Total /mo

📖 The whole story in plain English

Auto-generated from the current scenario. Identifies financial-independence milestones and the key transitions in Dad's plan.
How is this calculated?
Income (all three phases):
  • Pension $2,900/mo flat (no COLA).
  • Downstairs rent $3,400/mo base, grows 2%/yr smoothly.
  • Upstairs rent $11,000/mo m1–36, $11,500/mo m37–72 (3-year renewal cycle).
  • Phase 1 + 2 Uber: hours/wk × 4.33 × $25/hr (Phase 1 = initial pace, Phase 2 = scaled-back pace after the transition month).
  • Phase 3 Uber: hours/MONTH × $25/hr.
  • Phase 3 only: optional Direct Car Business flat $/mo net income (Dad rents the car to another driver, takes margin without driving).
Expenses:
  • Mortgage $5,250/mo until the mortgage-payoff slider month (default m297, computed from $850K principal × 5.5% APR amortization with the current $5,250 payment). After that month, $0 mortgage. It's a 5-yr balloon that gets renewed — adjust the slider if the rate changes meaningfully.
  • House bills $1,810/mo base, grows 2.5%/yr. M&I reserve $809.17/mo same growth.
  • Florida rent $2,600, groceries/utilities $1,250, both grow 2.5%/yr.
  • Health: $600/mo Phase 1 + 2, steps to $300/mo at the configurable month (default 31, inside Phase 3).
  • Phase 1 + 2 lifestyle: golf $250, eating $200, discretionary $150. Phase 3 lifestyle: configurable, defaults $500 / $400 / $300.
  • Vehicles: each of the three phases has its own pick (Grandma's car / Avis / Tesla NEW / Tesla USED). Phase 1 + 2 use weekly Uber hours × 4.33 × 30 mph for miles; Phase 3 uses MONTHLY hours × 30 mph. Total monthly vehicle cost = fixed monthly (loan + insurance + reg) + miles × per-mile rate for that vehicle.
  • Tesla loans: NEW = 72 months @ 0% APR, USED = 60 months @ 7% APR. A loan starts the first month its Tesla type becomes the active vehicle. If Dad sells (switches to a different vehicle) and later rebuys the same Tesla type in Phase 3 with a gap in between, that's tracked as a new loan starting in Phase 3. After a loan ends, the monthly fixed cost drops to $375 (insurance + registration only).
Bucket allocations (continuous through both phases):
  • M&I: $809.17/mo, grows 2.5%/yr.
  • Personal Long-term: $1,500/mo, flat throughout.
  • Trip / Travel: $750/mo, flat — becomes general travel fund after Australia.
  • Vehicle Replacement Fund: auto-scales with miles whenever a Tesla is the active vehicle in any phase ($34,000 ÷ 200,000 mi, floor $300/mo). $0 when the active vehicle is Grandma's car or Avis.
  • House Fund: everything left over after the above.
  • Opportunity Fund: $0 until House crosses the trigger threshold. At that month, seed transfers from House → Opp, and the residual splits per the slider.
Interest: 4% APR, compounded monthly on every bucket balance.
Phase 1 math: identical to the 2-year chart at dad-uber-scenarios.pages.dev, so the m24 column here matches that tool's "TRUE net wealth" (minus vehicle loan / asset adjustment, which is dropped at m25 here).